General Heads-Up Strategy

Interpreting Small Sample Sizes--Bayesian Estimators 

Interpreting Small Sample Sizes--Bayesian Estimators

It often happens in heads up sit and go that we have to make the most of the limited reads we have. One common situation is that the villain has opened his button some X out of N times. Our HUD says his opening frequency is X/N, but with low N this is of limited to no value. This article describes a method of using population tendencies to get an accurate estimate of a villain’s opening frequency, O, given X and N. With such a frequency we can put the villain on a range of hands. This will lead to better decision making.

The Learning Process and Its Impact On Your Poker Development 

This is an article I originally penned for Pokersavvy Plus in my time working there. I have altered it in some small ways to reflect my current thoughts, though the core themes have been carried through.

Article: The learning Process and its Impact on your Poker Development. (by mjw006)

Given My Results, What Should My Confidence Level Be About My True Winrate? 

A long time ago, this chart started floating around on 2+2:

Heads Up SNG Confidence Chart - Flawed

HokieGreg Answers Your Questions 

As a result of this forum thread, HokieGreg recently sat down and answered your questions.

HokieGreg Answers Your Questions

gar1_od: I'm a micro stakes player and my question is how do you stay motivated to grind after say winning 3 or 4 games in a row? Normally when this happens I kind of get that fear of losing what I've won and feel like I've done enough for the day, when in reality I know volume is the key but can't get past that stumbling block in my head. I really feel this is one of my biggest leaks at the micros and is stopping me from progressing as a player.

22 Flawed Reasonings In HUSNG Poker (Part 2) 

The first half of this article introduced how there are dozens of common flawed ways of thinking about HUSNG poker that are pervasive amongst average midstakes players. In general, they tend to make use of heuristics that end up distracting from an accurate equity calculation at the core of the decision.  We'll now broaden this understanding towards your poker career and out-of-game poker choices, with a few more examples of specific common in-game situations interspersed along the way.