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crstn's picture
A5s flopped NFD, c-bet gets checkraised

Is my jam on this flop bad? I have no fold equity, but I think my equity is closeReads on Villain: Very aggressiv, he would 3-bet AJo most of the time, so I accounted the A as outs. Other fact: He min re-raised every small pocket pair for example i min-raise to 40 he makes it 60. Had two showdowns after this pre-flop actions, and he had 44 and 66, so I didn't believe he had a set. Two Pair is of course possible. Should I fold this hand after I c-bet? Hate this spots where I have such a strong draw after being the preflop-raiser, and then getting check-raised....   $20.00/$40.00 No Limit Holdem • 2 Players Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter BBVillain$1855.00  BTNHero$1145.00  Effective Stacks: 29bb Pre-Flop ($60.00, 2 players) Hero is BTN Hero raises to $80.00, Villain calls $40.00 Flop ($160.00, 2 players) Villain checks, Hero bets $80.00, Villain raises to $400.00, Hero goes all-in $1065.00, Villain calls $665.00  I did the math with pokerstove, and if my read about villain is right, my jam seems ok. Would be nice if somebody finds a leak in my math 141,570  games     0.016 secs     8,848,125  games/secBoard: 2d 7s JsHand 0:     47.885%      47.89%     00.00%              67791             0.00   { As5s }Hand 1:     52.115%      52.11%     00.00%              73779             0.00   { KsQs, KJs,KsTs, Ks9s, Ks8s, Ks6s, Ks5s, Ks4s, Ks3s, Ks2s, QJs, QsTs, Qs9s, Qs8s, Qs6s, Qs5s, Qs4s, Qs3s, Qs2s, J2s+, Ts9s, Ts8s, Ts6s, 9s8s, 6s5s, 6s4s, KJo, QJo, J2o+ }--- 

thepuminator's picture
jam and smile

jam and smile

RyPac13's picture
Your jam range seems fine,

Your jam range seems fine, I'm actually surprised you didn't have more equity based on that range.But if anything, I would think you might be too conservative with the range (and as is, your jam is fine anyways, even with almost no fold equity).  For example, many players 3bet hands like KJ in this situation preflop, and eliminating a hand like that should really help your equity.  Even if it's not a certainty, without any information there's still likely at least a double digit % chance he does not flat KJs preflop.  J2 may also be a hand he does not call with preflop (whereas a lot of your suited hands are more common hands a player actually calls with, and you do very well vs those).Don't forget there are chips in the pot, so even with no fold equity a shove is correct (or if he had shoved calling his shove) with less than 50% equity here.