Hello,I have question for more experinced players: how much really information is that red line in HEM giving you?I know it shows only luck factor in all in situations and there is so much hidden luck in game that you can never know exactly how lucky (or unlucky) you have been so I'm wondering how much importance are you guys giving to that statistic of luck adjusted winnings.
anyone?
It is basically just all in ev. If you get it in TT vs AA aipf your red line goes down even though obviously this is a good play. It means literally nothing over a small sample size (less than 2000 games) and it doesn't mean anything in terms of your actual poker skill. It really depends on what games/villains you are playing in terms of how accurate this will be. People who think they are as good or bad as their "red line" says are just uninformed fish basically and have a lot to learn about poker.
Thanks for a answer
The EV line is garbage. It is no real accurate representation..at best its a fuzzy generalization.
Mers advocates that it is more likely to be an accurate picture of your true skill/expectation than your actual results. I've heard other very good players agree with him.So at the very least you should consider it equal to or more important than your results when deciding your skill level and selecting which games and buyins to play.