No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players
$6.85+$0.15

Depends how much villain is barreling (obviously).

Thinking players know AKx & AQx boards aren't ideal for barreling because second pair hands are relatively strong and will often bluffcatch. 

In hypers, you often don't have much information to go by and have to rely on correlated reads.

If villain has been opening very wide (>70%) from the button and cbetting a lot (>80%), he probably also has a propensity to 3barrel his stack off on an A hi board. 

If he has been very loose and aggressive I think this is a clear call down. 

You will get shown Ax + sometimes, but if he's playing such wide ranges aggressively vs your passive line he has a lot of air in his range which he can be bluffing with. Plus the spade draw missed on the river so he could be bluffing with a missed draw.

That said, reads about his bet sizing would be very useful here => the fact that he bets 100 into 160 on the turn and then bets 180 into 360 on the river instead of shipping the remaining 500 - 40 - 40 - 100 = 320, could be significant. But again, limited sample sizes in hypers means we rarely have the reads we need to correctly factor in all these variables. 

If he hasn't been too loose or aggressive it's hard to see what he bets the turn and then gives up on the river with. So I think it's close to fold turn or fold river vs a more passive nitty opponent. 

Do you have any information about villain?

He is basically polarised here between Ax + and complete air. 

But the correct decision is polarised between a clear call down and a clear fold depending on villain's tendencies with respect to

- loose/aggressiveness + barreling frequencies

- river bet sizing => does he make a half pot bet with his entire range? or does he ship his bluffs? or does he ship his value?