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OhMySweet666's picture
pot bet river

opponent fish

second hand of the mech (I don't have stats)

I missed cbet flop because i think he muck folds

In the turn I minbet because I expect he calls with K/Qh, 4, poket pairs (and river I bet 40%)

When He raises I don't think He has 8 because He checks the turn

In the river I call because I think He bluffs

I have to fold the pot bet on the river?

[converted_hand][hand_history]IPoker, 10/20 blinds No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
[url="http://www.holdemmanager.com/affdata/PASG-LLC/twoplustwo/"]Poker Tools[/url] Powered By [url="http://www.holdemmanager.com/affdata/PASG-LLC/twoplustwo/"]Holdem Manager[/url] - The Ultimate [url="http://www.holdemmanager.com/affdata/PASG-LLC/twoplustwo/"]Poker Software[/url] Suite. 

[b]BB: 1,600 (80 bb)[/b]
[b]Hero (SB): 1,400 (70 bb)[/b]

[b]Preflop[/b]: Hero is SB with A:heart: 9:diamond:
[color="red"]Hero raises to 40[/color], BB calls 20

[b]Flop[/b]: (80) A:spade: 8:diamond: 8:club:[color="blue"] (2 players)[/color]
BB checks, Hero checks

[b]Turn[/b]: (80) 4:heart:[color="blue"] (2 players)[/color]
BB checks, [color="red"]Hero bets 20[/color], [color="red"]BB raises to 140[/color], Hero calls 120

[b]River[/b]: (360) Q:diamond:[color="blue"] (2 players)[/color]
[color="red"]BB bets 360[/color], Hero calls 360

[spoil][b]Results:[/b] 1,080 pot
Final Board: A:spade: 8:diamond: 8:club: 4:heart: Q:diamond: 
BB showed T:spade: 8:heart: and won 1,080 (540 net)
Hero mucked A:heart: 9:diamond: and lost (-540 net)
[/spoil][/hand_history][/converted_hand]

Jepser8's picture
I think you should make the

I think you should make the fold indeed. On the turn he didn't rep any draw but only 8x, ax  some pocket pairs + some air. But ones he strikes the 360 on the river it's really unlikely that he has anything else then 8x, a full house or maybe an higher ace then yours. It would be less common that he strikes the river river with an medium hand like small ace/pocket pair/air, because he would get fold from worser hands then his hand and calls from the better hands.

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