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errorpoker's picture
$3.50 Turbo - Facing a big bet on river with top set + His CoffeHUD stats

 

This is a $3.50 Turbo HUSNG on PokerStars. Villain has done some pretty weird things on this match. One of the first hands he min 3bet my minraise and then cbetted t20 on flop, turn and river, board was pretty dry and he was holding AA. After that I just didn't know what to think of this guy, but I asume that he's pretty unexperienced player. Other reads that I have on him that he likes to value bet really small on river with semi weak holdings. He has been pretty passive on this match.
Did I play this well? Is my bet sizing good? And the biggest question is that should I call on the river?
 
Here's an image of his stats on CoffeeHUD.

 

PokerStars - $3.32+$0.18|30/60 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players



SB: 1,448

Hero (BB): 1,552



SB posts SB 30, Hero posts BB 60

Pre Flop: (pot: 90) Hero has A A 

SB calls 30, Hero raises to 150SB calls 90

Flop: (300, 2 players) A 2 5 

Hero bets 150SB calls 150

Turn: (600, 2 players) 8 

Hero bets 300SB calls 300

River: (1,200, 2 players) 3 

Hero checks, SB bets 848 and is all-inHero?

pbogz1114's picture
I think that you played the

I think that you played the hand pretty well with some exceptions. When you hit the flop that hard we can bet smaller than half pot so we don't fold out  a lot of his air. A lot of his range on the flop is air because we have AA and he doesn't have a lot of 5x 2x in his range. So betting smaller is preferred to keep him in the hand and possibly induce raises. ( We could even think about checking back that flop). The turn sizing is fine and the river is a sick spot. If you have any reads that he can bluff than it is a tough spot because we only have to be right 30% of the time here. If this guy doesn't bluff at all and with the note of him min cbetting flops, it allows me to think that he is overall passive. To me it is a fold, but it is close on the river. Most of the time this is a made hand with a low stakes player. 
 
Hope that helps!
-pbogz

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