How to calculate Fold Equity vs Raise-call(Raise-Fold) Range? | Heads Up Poker And Spin and Go Videos

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Wed, 01/04/2012 - 23:06

#1

juentae

How to calculate Fold Equity vs Raise-call(Raise-Fold) Range?

Let say we have:Blind 25/50:Hero Stack(BB):1100Enemy Stack(SB):1900Opp raise 100. His Pfr 50%, Calling Range:27% - 22+,A2s+,K9s+,QJs,A2o+,K9o+,QJo.I have A3 - whats my plan? Jam, fold?I have 33,44,55?I have KQ?What kind of calculation I should use to get the right answer?With A3 I have 41,5% against calling range - but we have 150 dead chips in pot.

Wed, 01/04/2012 - 23:20

#2

Barrin

Fold = -50 Chips = 1050

Fold = -50 Chips = 1050 ChipsJam:He is folding 23% of his 50% PFR Range. Therefore you win the Pot uncontested in 46% of the times.46% * (100+50) = 46% * 150 = 69 Chips on averageIn 54% of the cases you are called and you are winning in 41.5% of the cases, means that you are loseing in 59.5% of the cases59.5% * 1050 = -624.75 Chips41.5% * (100+1050) = 41.5% * 1150 = 477.25 Chips on average(-624.75+477.25) = -147.50 * 54% = -79.65 Chips on average-79.65 - 69 = -10.65 ChipsSo (if I did the math correct, for which I take no guarantee at this late hour^^), Jaming loses -10.65 Chips (or ~0.2BB). Folding means to surrender your BB which costs you 50 chips (or -1BB).Therefore the correct decision (ignoreing the possibility of limping) would be to Jam.

Hi.