No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players

$1.44+$0.06

Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter

Effective Stacks: 20bb

Blinds 10/20

Pre-Flop (30, 2 players)

Hero is SB

Hero raises to 40, BB calls 20

Flop (80, 2 players)

BB checks, Hero bets 40, BB raises to 80, Hero calls 40

Turn (240, 2 players)

BB goes all-in 490, Hero goes all-in 270

River (780, 2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: 780

BB shows a pair of Fives

Hero shows two pair, Queens and Fives

Hero wins 780 ( won +390 )

BB lost -390

First off If someone could be nice and help me out with these math calculations, just wanna make sure that I have them right

call/Pot(after call)=% I need to be right

270/780= 34%

Assuming he has a pair higher than my queen, I have 28.79% equity, so a call is a no-no. Are these calculations accurate?

Now to his range, and correct me if I'm wrong, shouldn't be many As in his range since he just flatted pre, and if he had a king in this spot which isn't unlikely, why would he ship the ace? same with flush dunno why he would ship if he had a flush here since he usually wouldn't get value from worse, and if he had a flush here it would be a weak one, since AsKs is on the table and I have Qs, and I doubt he would min.check-raise with a weak FD with no overpairs. I just thought he was pretty polarized in this spot.

Just some thoughts, I'm still not sure I made the right call here if someone could help me out I'd be grateful. Especially if someone could help me narrow his range and tell me if I'm doing something wrong or could inprove in my range speculations I'd be more than grateful.

Thank you

EDIT: I guess he could have JsTs, the check-raise would make sense for value since he's ahead of TP but shipping the turn with this hand doens't still doesn't make any sense imo. And I don't know why he would check-raise so small with such a strong hand, because all my air is folding anyways and a Q and K is calling wheather he makes it 80or 100-120. Maybe he's afraid of being check shoved by a stronger draw, Qsx but there are far more cominations of Kx, Qx, in my range so it shouldn't be much of a concern. There are about 4-times as much combinations of Kx than there are FD in my range, assuming that I raise Ak-k2 at this stack-depth.

EDIT 2: Actually, there are only 7 combinations of flushes in my range which contains a Q and about 114 combinations of Kx, sure on the flop he's still worried about As but still doesn't change much probability wise.

I guess there's also the possibility that he check-raises to induce, but are there any instances where he then would shove the river? So that he would check-raise the flop with like Kx, JsTs, two-pair type hands, and then just open-ship the turn?

Also, assuming he has a weak FD on the flop, is there any argument making a nai c/r rather than c/c or c/s. I don't know if the c/c is ever acceptable(maybe someone could help me out here) but a checkshove would give max fold equity but I guess there's also the counter argument that aren't getting worse to call since Kx, Qx, are ahead. In these type of spots would it be better to c/r nai or c/c three streets(given the sizing is appropriate)? Now when I think about it it would probably better to turn our hand into a semi-bluff in these type of spots. If we check-raise nai and get shoved it's a fold knowing we don't have enough equity to continue against any value range. But if we get called our opponent is most likely to have a Qx, or some weak draw, which probably folds to a second or third barrel. And if we choose the c/c line then there's the problem that our opponent can make the sizing on later streets too big so we can't make a profitable call.

I'd be more then grateful if someone could point out if I'm doing something wrong when I try to narrow his range/speculate and how I can improve.