We are 30 hands in the match. Opponent 3-betted me 4 times pre, I always had to give up. Now I got this hand and insta shoved in the heat. But after sucking out on him I was not sure if my shove was correct. I have no history than the 30 hands and have no idea of his stack off range. Or is the shove good because I am winning 280 chips if he was bluff 3-betting (what I think a great part of his 3-bets was)? I really don't know. Usually I don't get it in with A10o this deep.Usually I don't post results, but this time I decided to, because i feel so dumb... 36bb deep... $20/$40 No Limit Holdem • 2 Players Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter BBVillain$1570.00 BTNHero$1430.00 Effective Stacks: 36bb Pre-Flop ($60.00, 2 players) Hero is BTN Hero raises to $80.00, Villain raises to $200.00, Hero goes all-in $1430.00, laughingas calls $1230.00 Flop ($2860.00, 2 players, 1 all-in) Turn ($2860.00, 2 players, 1 all-in) River ($2860.00, 2 players, 1 all-in) Final Pot: $2860.00 Villain shows Hero shows Hero wins $2860.00 ( won +$1430.00 )
BB= 40 chips / 1BBPot = 280 chips / 7 BBYour shoove: 1430 chips / 35,75 BB's 35,75 to win 7 35,75/7 = 5,1 If i'm correct this means if will have to fold around 5/6 / 83,3% times for this to be +EV also meaning he will have to call 16,6 % of the time for this be -EV Use the pokerstove preflop range tool select all the hands you think he will 3bet, if we say there is 20 different hands he will 3bet with then you take the number of thoose hands lets say 5 and divide the 20 3bet hands he got with the number he will call your shoove 20/5 = 25 % 1) if my math is wrong could someone correct it : ) 2) hope figuring out how to figure out the % of hands he will call with made any sense ( and is correct )
I think we miss some information here-The stake-His postflop tendenciesFor my part , (I play 10$ and 20$ HUSNG) I jam if he his a weak player and I think he will call my jam with a lot of hands.In the other part, if I feel confortable post flop (he his very tight or very loose) flatting is an option.This is only my own point of view an I'm pretty sure that Ryan will give us the wright thoughts about that hand