Open Shove Math
Im trying to get my head around this and can’t seem to get the same answers to Icmizer. Basically I just want to know if Im doing something wrong... I choose a simple one to start with...Stacks are 500 and blinds 10/20 and its AA vs 4.26% villain range (99+,AQs+,AKo).
Fold equity is 490 (500-10sb)
Equity if called
Equity vs viallin range 82.8
Villain equity 17.2
Villain will call 4.26
If called and win (82.8*4.26%)%*1000+490=525.27
If called and lose 490-(17.2*4.26%)%*1000=482.67
Total equity of shove 532.6 (490+525.27-482.67)
So shoving is t42.6
Now Icmizer comes out at t40.3
Can anyone explain why my maths is off, is it something obvious? I thought it could be something to do with card removal or drawing but I'm unsure. I tried factoring it in but still get a different answer to Icmizer.
Please ignore the error of 4.26%.... This should be 4.2% and the end result should be t42...
Yeah it's card removal. Vs that range you're actually only getting called 3.35% of the time (you block AQs,AKs, and AKo). Put in 3.35% and see what happens :)
And the ties, maybe?
Cool cheers guys