ok thoughts on this spot please
he is raiseing to in position not sure on a exact percentage want to say 30-40%ish
anyway when he flats the reraise it prolly rules out all strong aces definately AQ+ mabye AJ AT not sure about pocket pairs thou he might or might not shove them but this player is most likely shoving TT+
PokerStars Game #30086586490: Tournament #176785718, $20+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Match Round I, Level III (25/50) - 2009/07/04 11:19:45 ET
Table '176785718 1' 2-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: OMGsoRIGGED (1525 in chips)
Seat 2: Tarceea (1475 in chips)
Tarceea: posts small blind 25
OMGsoRIGGED: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to OMGsoRIGGED [Jh Kh]
Tarceea: raises 50 to 100
OMGsoRIGGED: raises 200 to 300
Tarceea: calls 200
*** FLOP *** [4c 9h 9c]
OMGsoRIGGED: checks
Tarceea: bets 150
OMGsoRIGGED: calls 150
*** TURN *** [4c 9h 9c] [2d]
OMGsoRIGGED: checks
Tarceea: bets 350<-----(((this is like him telling me he has air or a 9 becuase 4 or 2 is not likely in his calling or raiseing range
believe he has air over 75% here mabye a PP or a 9 less than 25%
so what do you guys think about a shove not sure if he is capable of hero call with A high
+ he is prolly checking a pair of 2s or 4s anyway if he did endup with them for some crazy reason but mabye wrong
If he's raising this few hands from his button, I tend to call rather than 3bet KJs. I don't think you can push here, because you're going to get called by any pocket pair, which may be a bigger part of his range than you realize.
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Why can't he have a pocket pair or AK ?
This is low stakes, so I wouldn't even be surprised to see something like pocket 6's or a random 4 here.
And this turn-bet really looks like he's going nowhere with the hand, whatever he has - even if it's Ace High.
In general, I wouldn't risk my entire stack in a bluff against some random low-stakes fish.
I also absolutely don't like the flop check/call - either bet/fold or check/fold, but never check/call with king high - there's just not too much that you beat, so you basically have to bluff the turn or river to take this down. I wouldn't mind check/calling the flop with a good Ace, but IMO King High is a bit too weak for that.
Jack
the check/call here made me cringe, it's about the only massive error you can make here, even check/raising wouldnt be this bad and that is still fairly spewy.
I would lead this board for about 250 since you 3bet preflop, I don't see how he can call with anything, he'll either fold or come over the top to let you know you're beat.
Yeah, cbetting here is definitely standard. Not many players will mess around on such a dry flop after you 3bet them preflop. The cbet should be very very profitable.