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WBR's picture
TP + K-high flush draw on monotone flop

5th hand of match, opp is unknown, SS shows that he has like 25% ROI on $105 after 30 games or so.

Full Tilt Poker $100 + $5 Heads Up Sit & Go, Table 1 - 10/20 - No Limit Hold'em
Seat 1: grizzlies11 (1,410)
Seat 2: Hero (1,590)
grizzlies11 posts the small blind of 10
Hero posts the big blind of 20
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Kd Tc]
grizzlies11 has 15 seconds left to act
grizzlies11 raises to 40
Hero calls 20
*** FLOP *** [7d 6d Td]
Hero bets 60
grizzlies11 raises to 120

Hero?

Is my hand strong enough to play on it right on the flop? 

xSCWx's picture
Interesting

God damn, I had a huge reply typed out and I hit the back button on my mouse by accident and cleared it.
 
I think that this is a difficult hand to answer because it is very villain dependent and we know basically nothing about the villain. The 30-game sample on Sharkscope really doesn't tell us anything. I just looked him up and he has played 135 games now but has -5% ROI.
 
I think that our hand is strong enough to get in on the flop, but I think that flat calling is also a viable option because it could allow him to overplay a worse hand into us. I don't think a raise is bad, but against an unknown I think that flat calling is going to be better than shipping it in. I'm terrified of min-raises from unknowns, and early on I'd rather just get a feel for how they play. I don't have much reasoning to back this up since it is based almost purely upon how I think "random" players play. This is a tough one to answer conclusively.

WBR's picture
Thank you. Flat is

Thank you.
Flat is reasonable, unfortunately I'm OOP...  but it's OK. I still have a problem playing too many big pots early in the match versus unknown opps. I shoud think about it and make some corrections.
BTW why dont you use filters on Shark? I mean Shark shows all games, not only NLHE HUSNGs, if you dont use "advanced search". Some guys has nice stats in FLHE or Omaha, but sucks in NLHE, some guys (like Christian Kruel in your video) good in full-ring, but not so good in HU etc.

xSCWx's picture
Notes

I play STTs also so the overall helps me with that a bit. Filtering would definitely help, but it is a lot of effort to have to keep changing the filters depending on the player. For some players (like CK) I have both. Ideally I would have it for everyone, but it would be extremely time consuming.

WBR's picture
You can save certain filters

You can save certain filters and switch them :)
Update: Sorry, I'm probably boring with this.