Hey guys,
I've started playing husng's (turbo's ) on stars a while ago, And I'm doing wondering how I calculate the ev of a 3-bet shove.
I actually hate math, but I figured I might want to be able to do these calculations without a chart.
I've got this formula now (from the extra 1% series)
EV (Villain folds) = Dead money
Ev ( Villain calls) = win% * (deadmoney + Villain stack) - lose% * (your semi-bluff raise size)
But I miss something here,
I can now calculate the ev when he folds and when he calls, but how do I put it together? (like, where do I put the % he calls/folds?)
Thanks!
Yeah. You are missing something. In order to combine the results you need to give weight to the probability that an event takes place. If villain folds 30% of the times, this means that he will call in 70% of the times.
Hi.
Yea but how do I put that in?
[(EV Villain folds)*(Probability of Villain folding)] + [(EV if Villain is Calling)*(Probability of Villain Calling)]
But why would you wanna calculate it by hand anyways?
Hi.
Thanks!
It's just that I want to start out doing it by hand, It can't hurt to at least know what's behind the calculation right?
I agree. The most valueable thing in "learning how to learn", may be to understand what is behind certain steps. At least, that is what I believe in. :)
Hi.