hey,
PokerStars, $25/50 Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
[url=http://www.pokerhand.org/hand-converter.aspx]Hand Converter[/url] by [url=http://www.pokerhand.org]Pokerhand.org[/url]
[b]Board:[/b]
BB: $1,125
Button: $1,875
[color=red] Dealt to BB [/color] T:spade: 9:heart:
[b]Pre-flop:[/b]
Button calls $25, BB checks
[b]Flop:[/b] ($100) 3:diamond: 9:diamond: 2:club: (2 Players)
BB checks, Button bets $50, BB raises to $150, Button calls $100
[b]Turn:[/b] ($400) 7:club: (2 Players)
BB checks, Button checks
[b]River:[/b] ($400) T:diamond: (2 Players)
BB bets $250, Button raises to $1,675 and is all-in, Hero ?
[b]Results:[/b]
Button wins $900
Villain is a wp and this is the first match we played. Does anyone think that he is bluffing there? my guess is that this i really bad bluff spot and that 99% of the time he will show up with the flush so im pretty sure that this is an easy fold.
there no really important reads that i could give, because this is the first match and so far the match has been really straight forward i guess
I think he is pretty much repping diamonds or air. It would be very difficult for him to have gotten here with a straight. However, I think that the vast majority of players are completely incapable of bluff raising a river all-in. Folding here is really exploitable because if you are folding this then there isn't much you are calling with, but I don't think that many players are good enough to actually exploit you for it. I think this fold is fine unless you KNOW he can make moves.
Hard decission, I would probably fold besides I have a read or I know the guy is a fish that will accept a rematch. :)
Check-raising the flop with a strong flush draw or maybe flush + overs seems logical. I am wondering why he would jam, if the flush gets there. He is so much overrepresenting the flush that I doubt a little bit that he has it.