No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 2 players - View hand 2338774
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Hero (BTN/SB): t530 26.50 BBs
BB: t470 23.50 BBs
Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is BTN/SB with 5 Q
Hero raises to t40, BB calls t20
Flop: (t80) Q 5 J(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t36, BB raises to t92, Hero calls t56
Turn: (t264) 3(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t99, BB calls t99
River: (t462) 2(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t299 all in, BB calls t239 all in
Villain has a high flop c/r of 38%, so I flatted to keep his bluffs in. What range do you put him on once he c/c Turn? And is my turn bet too small given how many draws are out there? Would u cbet/flat strong jacks here and check-behind/call probe with weak Jacks?
Thanks :)
After he check calls the turn I expect to see a lot of strong one pairs that are slowing down and flop draws (clubs, straight draws). I don't expect to see the 64 or diamonds show up a ton of the time, but it happens. What'd he have?
Oh, and I think given your reads you did fine here. 38% flop check raise, is that out of 50 of these situations? I don't think you can get to 38% over a tiny sample, so if you have a decent sample I think your thought process here is pretty good (especially if you've seen evidence that he'll follow up bluffs on the turn.
Thanks for the response!
Yep, he had the diamonds :) No, these 38% flop c/r is definitely not a 50-hand sample, but can't really remember how much. Prolly around 15-25 hands or so.
But I think most players will follow up the aggression on the turn with a Qx. Do you c/b weak Jacks here and bet/stack off with, say AJ, KJ?