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cdon3822's picture
Spew call down?

Turn and river call down w counterfeited 2 pair (top pair). 

Call turn, fold river ?

 

No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players
$6.85+$0.15

Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter

SB Cobra15979 500  
BB Hero 500  

Effective Stacks: 25bb

Blinds 10/20

Pre-Flop (30, 2 players)

Hero is BB

s2hT

Cobra15979 calls 10, Hero checks

Flop (40, 2 players)

h2c6dT

Hero bets 20, Cobra15979 calls 20

Turn (80, 2 players)

h7

Hero bets 40, Cobra15979 raises to 120, Hero calls 80

River (320, 2 players)

s6

Hero checks, Cobra15979 goes all-in 340, Hero goes all-in 340

Final Pot: 1000

Cobra15979 shows a straight, Six to Ten

d8d9

Hero shows two pair, Tens and Sixes

s2hT

Cobra15979 wins 1000 ( won +500 )

Hero lost -500

Dipl.Komp.'s picture
i think the hands that raise

i think the hands that raise you on the turn almost always got helped by the 7. those hands are mostly: 72, 76, T7, 98. maybe T6 wants to grow the pot, now that a FD is out as well, plus some of your donking range now has picked up a gutshot. i suspect a hand like Th9h will rather call you again.

of those hands, 72 will likely check behind OTR. it´s hard to see villain have a hand that you can beat. you basically have a bluffcatcher. i think we have to fold here, because for villain to bluff here, he must have called you with a hand like 3h4h OTF that decided to raise as a semi bluff OTT and bluff ship the river.

 

and what happened to you that you play 7$ again? did you run bad?

cdon3822's picture
I think flop calls followed

I think flop calls followed by turn NAI raises are generally for strong value strong. 

I think I'm behind too often to continue and the turn should be a bet fold. 

 

I took a shot @ 15s this month.

- 9 buyins (-1.55% ROI), with + 24 equity adjusted buyins (+4.26% ROI) over 571 games. 

Ran about $500 under equity adj.

Very demotivating results :(

TheCleaner01's picture
Hey !

Keep on Cdon ! If you cant do it were all F$$K'D

:-)

Come on man, you'll be fine. I'll race you to the $30's ??!!

GL !

Go forth and CRUSH !

cdon3822's picture
Thanks.  I'm going to load on

Thanks. 

I'm going to load on 20 buyins @ 15s to bolster my roll. 

See if I can play for enough volume that my results converge with my equity!

cdon3822's picture
Woops I reread my post. I

Woops I reread my post.

I think call on turn is fine,

But I have to fold river once jammed into and counterfeited. 

Dipl.Komp.'s picture
yes, that can be

yes, that can be demotivating. hang in there. or take a small break like i do. i just took a shot at heads up cashgame and i am sth like 12 stacks below EV. i think when i return after my study break i will go for hyper sng again and start at 15 or 30. let´s see, how it feels like.

TheCleaner01's picture
Yes a break is good.

Yes a break is good. Sometimes all the info your digesting and trying to get to grips with is a constant work out on the brain.

A good way to let the brain do its job is to let it rest and recuperate. 

24hrs is a minimum a week is amazing !

GL.

 

Go forth and CRUSH !

cdon3822's picture
I was developing an

I was developing an analytical tool for solving heads up situations a while ago, which I'd parked of late because I was super busy with work and wanted to use my spare time to play more poker. 

I think I might take a bit of a break from playing and finish the project. 

Dipl.Komp.'s picture
good luck with that. what´s

good luck with that. what´s the tool going to be like? or do you want to keep it all to yourself?

cdon3822's picture
It will be a heads up hyper

It will be a heads up hyper turbo specific tool based in excel.

I'm pretty close to being able to model preflop only games completely.

Bit like an ICMIZER, but I will add some additional metrics which will become decision making reference points + I want to develop some additional implied value modelling based on flop equity distributions.

At a minimum I think I can extend the work Mersenneary presented in his SB & BB end game vids to yield generalised decision making reference points within the context of various villain tendencies for an entire range @ variable effective stacks.

I've been thinking a lot about the framework I want to set up for postflop modelling but it's not as clear in my mind how this will end up yet.

At this stage I'm thinking about a (S/P,E,FE) model but haven't worked out a solution to differentiate between different board textures in a way that avoids excessively onerous simulations yet.

The motivation is to be able to have access to a study tool that allows me to explore the "grey" decisions where there is scope to find an exploitative edge (effectively play more profitably than my opponents). That is, help me build a more fundamentally solid game and understand the reference & inflection points in which I should be framing my decisions to maximise my long term expectation vs different opponent tendencies.