Villain 3B% at 14%, PFR% at 44%
Bad move to call given good enough odds? Should I have just shoved or is this a fold? I figured I cannot push since its not 8x ES yet. We dont follow nash unless its 8x ES right?
No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players
$6.85+$0.15
Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter
SB | Hero | 725 | |
BB | brianf78 | 275 |
Effective Stacks: 9bb
Blinds 15/30
Pre-Flop (45, 2 players)
Hero is SB
Hero raises to 60, brianf78 goes all-in 275, Hero calls 215
Flop (550, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Turn (550, 2 players, 1 all-in)
River (550, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: 550
At 9bb I think its fine to shove, I don't wanna open and get called to play a hand that doesn't flop well postflop especially when your shallow
I agree that at 9bbs it's often best to open shove K-rag. However, vs someone who 3bets only 15%, I would not call it off vs a 3bet shove.
Standard jam @ 9BB.
Once you min raise and get jammed on, you need to call (S-2) = 9-2 = 7BB for your equity share of a 2S = 2*9 = 18BB pot.
So you're better raise calling than raise fold if you have equity, e > (S-2) / 2S = 7 / 18 = 39%.
Kx6y vs a range of all PP, Ax + all broadways: A,KK-22,KQ-KT,QJ-QT,JT
~ 28% (bit less with card removal)
has 36.58% equity.
If he expands his 3b jamming range wider to include some weaker holdings you get closer to an indifference point between raise calling and raise folding.
For example vs the range: AA-22,AxKx-Ax2x,AxKy-Ax2y,KxQx-Kx6x,KxQy-Kx8y,QxJx-Qx6x,QxJy-Qx9y,JxTx-Jx8x,JxTy,Jx9y,Tx9x,Tx8x,Tx9y,9x8x,9x7x,8x7x
Kx6y has 39.72% equity
So if we expect villain to 3b jam very wide, which vs this opponent we don't we should raise call.
Against this opponent I don't expect we have the equity vs his 3b jamming range to profitably call a 3b jam so raise folding will have better expectation that raise calling.