Tough Spot with Middle Suited Connector with no Reads Early
Hey guys this was tough spot i was in against an unknown opponent early in the match. Please let me know what you think. Thanks.
No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players • PokerStars
$6.71+$0.29
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight.com
SB |
hero |
1500 |
|
|
BB |
Panx1to |
1500 |
|
|
Effective Stacks: 75bb
Blinds 10/20
- Pre-Flop (30, 2 players) Hero is SB
hero raises to 40,
Panx1to raises to 120, hero calls 80
Panx1to bets 140, hero calls 140
- Turn (520, 2 players)
Panx1to bets 520, hero calls 520
- River (1560, 2 players)
Panx1to goes all-in 720,
hero folds
- Panx1to wins 2280 ( won +780 )
- hero lost -780
I would fold on the turn.
Yea, unfortunately we are to deep to shove this flop. As played, I'm hero folding the turn as well. No a great barrel card for villain, yet he continues, which usually is a good indicator of strength. We have 8 outs with the st8 draw and 5 outs to improve our pairs. Looks like we need around 33% to call, we have 26%.
View my coaching page.
hi A_to_theG, i try t help you:
the point with this spot in my opinion is that oppo here 99% of the time on the turn,is beating our 78o (1% is when we have found a fanta aggro donky mega spewer which have bluffs in this spot) because here is representing a range like 99+... as pbogz said,talking about pure odds,we need 33% for a correct call..obv this isn t the case..but also the main problem is that if we call the turn and the river came a 5,T, or 7 which improve our hand the board became sooo straighty that sometimes (not the majority of the time, but sometimes )our opponent can fold against our shove because even a stupid donk can think that his AA are not good on a 4698 7/T/5 board (if the river is a clubs even worst)...so in my opinion the point here is even if we call and catch our cards on the river we are not 100% sure that opponent will pay our shove so--->not safe implied odds so---> fold.
this is my opinion and obv i accept a lot of critics and i hope u appreciated the answer!! cheerss!!