Villain c/r range here is polarised between:
value - Jx
semibluffs / bluffs - FDs, gutshots
Actual hand he turns up with ironically is in both categories.
I jam over with my 2 overs + OESD.
But with position, I think flatting is an option too.
Which do you think has better expectation?
No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players
$14.69+$0.31
Hand converted by the official HUSNG.com hand converter
| SB | Hero | 430 | |
| BB | 514shark | 570 |
Effective Stacks: 22bb
Blinds 10/20
Pre-Flop (30, 2 players)
Hero is SB
Hero raises to 40, 514shark calls 20
Flop (80, 2 players)
514shark checks, Hero bets 40, 514shark raises to 80, Hero goes all-in 390, 514shark calls 310
Turn (860, 2 players, 1 all-in)
River (860, 2 players, 1 all-in)
Final Pot: 860
Hero shows a straight, Ten to Ace
514shark shows a pair of Jacks
Hero wins 860 ( won +430 )
514shark lost -430
In this spot shoving seems better.
We have good equity vs all of opponents range including Jx and Fds. We have some fold equity as villian can reasonably have some air here he folds when we shove and we take the pot down without running it out.
We have to fold on the turn to a barrell on a spade or a blank, both of which villian is likely to fire given the previous action.
it's also likely the villian may shut down on an A K Q with his Jack type hands which we would want to extract value from.
Given all this 3 Bet shoving seems to be the best play.