Seat 1: vilain(1,485)
Seat 2: Hero (1,515)
Hero posts the small blind of 15
vilain posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Ks Ts]
Hero raises to 90
Vilain raises to 270
Hero calls 180
*** FLOP *** [Ah 5s Qs]
Vilain bets 1,215, and is all in
I loaded some villain's possbile hands in PokerStove, and it looks like your equity rarely worse then 45%:
AcKc - 54% against you.
JdJh - 52%
KdKh - 54%
KdQc - 54%
QhJs - 49%
8d8h - 37%
There is already 540 chips in the pot. We can expect that villain probably not jam with 2pair or better, and he may bluff with a hand weaker then your KsTs (like spade draw or complete air). Looks like call is profitable here, because his overbet push can be a bluff big % of time.
thx, did the call
what did he have?
Andrew Yeung
Hey, I know a big idiot who plays a set of aces like that - he's a ~2% ROI winner at the $100's on Absolute, but his strategy only works the first time against anyone who's not a complete idiot as well - he overbet-shoves only with the nuts and minbets everything else while beging a total nit.
Against anybody else, I snapcall this in a reraised pot and I'd also call this against many donkeys in a single-raised pot since we beat so many other draws they could be doing this with.