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Pisku's picture
EV variance.

Is there such thing as EV variance calculator/simulator for HUSNGs?

Barrin's picture
http://www.husng.com/content/

Hi.

Pisku's picture
I ment EV variance like

I ment EV variance like pt4 net adjusted graph or smth variance.

cdon3822's picture
This would simply be a

This would simply be a straight line.

$profit = ROI * B * V

where

ROI = f(win rate, rake)

B = buyin

V = volume

 

If you drill down one level deeper to hands rather than tournaments, you could potentially model this. 

You would need to estimate all the spots where your EV comes from and their frequency. 

Then create an experimental sample which randomly distributes each spot over a nominated volume of hands. 

 

I don't see any value in having such a tool, except that in the process of building it you would become more aware of where your EV is coming from. 

Barrin's picture
You either wanna calculate it

You either wanna calculate it or you wanna let it be shown. If you prefer the later just use PT4.

Hi.

Pisku's picture
Would like to calculate it.

Would like to calculate it. Just curious about lets say pt4 net adjusted swings. 

Saw net won variance swings on a regular variance calculator, after that started wondering how much can net adjusted line fluctuate. While net won can fluctuate +/- 100BI, but what about net adjusted line, much less for sure but how much? +/- 10-30BI seems about right on micro/small stakes?