No Limit Holdem Tournament • 2 Players

$6.85+$0.15

My jam is definitely a mistake => he only calls with hands that have me crushed, or that I am flipping against. The times he does fold (if ever here), I'm not folding out enough equity that it makes up for the times that I get snapped off as a significant dog. 
=> Against his typical range in this spot, I'm not loving my hand against his c/r range. 
 
But I guess I posted it here, because against villain's actual hand, flatting is not really even good. 
Against his actual hand, it is a clear fold (I'm drawing almost dead). 
=> So I wanted to understand how to think about his entire range here
 
So if I consider my options when checked to on the flop and the way the hand can play out: 
1. hero cbet
1.1 villain folds => villain will usually fold his air to a cbet here but his OOP flatting range @ 23BB usually has hit this board in some way
1.2 villain calls => c/c range is probably Tx, 7x + some gutshots
1.3 villain c/r jams => c/r jam range probably heavily weighted to Jx that prefers to get it in now rather than risk being outdrawn, with a 9 kicker, as DiplKomp correctly points out I'm probably not in great shape vs the Jx in villain's OOP flatting range @ 23BB
1.3.1 villain c/r jams and hero folds
1.3.2 villain c/r jams and hero calls
1.4 villain c/r NAI => as noted in original post, we generally feel the value part of this range (particularly to the small size) is VERY strong => weighted to 2pair or better type holdings. He can somtimes have bluffs, which he will probably give up on the turn unimproved on such a wet board so we can consider flatting. But jamming will likely lead to a poor outcome => he will call when he is WAY AHEAD and simply fold an insignificant equity share when he is not
1.4.1  villain c/r NAI and hero folds
1.4.2  villain c/r NAI and hero calls
1.4.3  villain c/r NAI and hero jams
2. hero checks back => checking back protects us from betting into a potentially strong hand but risks giving a free card to the part of his range which has highly dynamic equity share on many turn cards (eg. gutshot type holdings) 
2.1 villain checks turn => if villain checks to us on the turn after we check back the flop, we would feel more comfortable betting our top pair for value
2.1.2 villain checks turn and hero checks back
2.1.3 villain checks turn and hero bets
2.2 villain leads out => we can't neccessarily narrow villain's range here because we checked back the flop. He could be leading just because he perceives our flop check back as weak. Bet sizing will be key here, larger bets such as full pot tend to be value hands which are trying to make up for missed value when they didn't get to c/r the flop. We can certainly call smaller sizings for one street with our top pair and will be able to play the river with the advantage of position. 
2.2.1 villain leads out and hero folds
2.2.2 villain leads out and hero calls
2.2.3 villain leads out and hero raises
2.2.4 villain leads out and hero jams
 
To be honest I wouldn't have even considered checking back top pair on such a wet board. 
Maybe it could be good if villain is quite passive and won't lead turn and barrel us off the best hand too often. 
Additionally, if villain has reliable bet sizing tells, we will be able to play the turn and river quite well vs his range. 
I'm not sure villain has enough super strong hands here that we should neccessarily be worried about betting into a strong made hand.
He will still be folding his air a lot of the time to a cbet and will c/c with a lot of hands we are ahead of. 
 
We could probably profitably cbet and fold to c/r to this sizing here, knowing that it is more often than not indicative of a strong value hand. 
And we are not really giving villain credit for being able to make the adjustment that we will be incredibly exploitable in this spot (ie. we don't think he will start making small NAI c/r to exploit how tight we will be playing vs them). 
But it does feel gross to fold to this size c/r with top pair :(