Hi All,

This is my first post in the forum and I'm really just looking for a bit of help to see if I am on the right track with hand analysis for HUSNG.

This is my first attempt at a written hand review so is very basic.It would be great to know if I'm thinking in the right direction, or if I'm totally missing something/making a maths error etc. (hence I've deliberately written out my mental calculations)

Without further ado;

My Notes

[P] After 68 hands Villain VPIP less than 50% against my Open. Hero K2s top 40% card so worth open as 50% fold equity plus 20% chance of being ahead if called/3bet.

Villain 3bet 3x my 3xBB Open to 9BB. So pot odds are 6 BB to win 12BB or 1:2

Hero chance to win is 43% (using Equilab) against range of top 50% of hands. But Villain only 3bet 20% of possible hands so far, leaving 37.5% chance to win against range of top 20% hands. (perhaps adjusted up a bit for the occasional Villain 3-bet bluff, plus position post flop - though Villain has momentum) . Either way seems a solid call? 

For some reason I re-raised and I think based on the above that that was a mistake. I see this as my main learning point from the hand.

Then, Given that i was re-raised all in, I could only assume I was facing a much stronger hand than mine, seeing as I already had the villain as favourite for SD. But I was getting good odds to call if I could win more than 30% of the pots. Which would be the case against a range of the top 10% of hands (again using Equilab).

In the moment I think I put him on a hand that dominated mine, say top 5%, which would be a -EV play. I didn't work this out at the table though, I believe I folded pretty much instantly - so another lesson there to stop and take a moment to think.

The other consideration is that as he had been playing fairly tight for HU I possibly figured I could quickly win back some blinds and would have a better chance of winning the longer I stuck in the game.

Still not enough stats to get a read on the 4th raise (that being the only one so far!), so I'm not sure if folding was correct or not.

Thoughts?

P.S. using coffee HUD lite and PT4 for my info.

P.P.S. I later learnt this player really likes to slow play medium + strong hands post flop (so is either passive or trying to trap me - which might have indicated he was more likely bluffing with the 4bet?). He also rarely folds to my CB (23%) and usually just calls to see the turn. This covers the strength of his hand well. I have been trying to push him off with another CB on the turn, where he seems to fold about 40% of the time, call 40% and raise 20%. Pretty much every time he's called and checked again on the river I've checked behind and more often than not he has had the nuts (thanks to the turn or river) or flopped a very strong hand.

Any articles or videos you can point me to for dealing with the above type of play (Villain calling CB's a lot) would also be great. Thanks.